1-2 after 3 games. Too early to project.
Streak: W1
How is this calculated?
Projected final record at this pace
The Falcons are on pace for a 6-11 finish (33.3% win rate).
Calculate Projection
The Atlanta Falcons are 1-2 through 3 games of the 2026 NFL season — a 33.3% win rate. That pace extends to a 6-11 finish, about 6 wins; the Projected Final Record in the section under the headline adds the model's view of the remaining schedule, and its calculator shows how a hypothetical record changes their projected finish. Records and standings come from ESPN; playoff odds come from ESPN's Football Power Index. How our numbers work
Frequently Asked Questions
How many wins are the Atlanta Falcons on pace for in 2026?
Through 3 games the Atlanta Falcons are 1-2. At that pace they project to finish 6-11 — about 6 wins over the 17-game season.
What is the Atlanta Falcons' projected final record?
At their current pace, 6-11 (33.3% win rate), extrapolated from their 1-2 record. ESPN's Football Power Index (FPI) supplies its own projection and the playoff odds shown in the Projected Final Record, in the section under the headline; the two differ when results have run ahead of or behind a team's underlying strength.
Are the Atlanta Falcons on pace for a winning season?
Their projected 6 wins is below .500 for the 17-game season, so at their current pace the Atlanta Falcons are on track for a sub-.500 record. The headline at the top of this page gives their live playoff outlook.
How does PaceToWin project the Atlanta Falcons?
PaceToWin takes the Atlanta Falcons' current win rate and extends it across the full 17-game NFL season, then layers in point-differential (Pythagorean) expected wins and model-based playoff odds where available. Records and standings come from ESPN; playoff odds come from ESPN's Football Power Index. Details: pacetowin.com/methodology.
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