1-2 after 3 games. Too early to project.
Streak: L2
How is this calculated?
Projected final record at this pace
The Cardinals are on pace for a 6-11 finish (33.3% win rate).
Calculate Projection
The Arizona Cardinals are 1-2 through 3 games of the 2026 NFL season — a 33.3% win rate. That pace extends to a 6-11 finish, about 6 wins; the Projected Final Record in the section under the headline adds the model's view of the remaining schedule, and its calculator shows how a hypothetical record changes their projected finish. Records and standings come from ESPN; playoff odds come from ESPN's Football Power Index. How our numbers work
Frequently Asked Questions
How many wins are the Arizona Cardinals on pace for in 2026?
Through 3 games the Arizona Cardinals are 1-2. At that pace they project to finish 6-11 — about 6 wins over the 17-game season.
What is the Arizona Cardinals' projected final record?
At their current pace, 6-11 (33.3% win rate), extrapolated from their 1-2 record. ESPN's Football Power Index (FPI) supplies its own projection and the playoff odds shown in the Projected Final Record, in the section under the headline; the two differ when results have run ahead of or behind a team's underlying strength.
Are the Arizona Cardinals on pace for a winning season?
Their projected 6 wins is below .500 for the 17-game season, so at their current pace the Arizona Cardinals are on track for a sub-.500 record. The headline at the top of this page gives their live playoff outlook.
How does PaceToWin project the Arizona Cardinals?
PaceToWin takes the Arizona Cardinals' current win rate and extends it across the full 17-game NFL season, then layers in point-differential (Pythagorean) expected wins and model-based playoff odds where available. Records and standings come from ESPN; playoff odds come from ESPN's Football Power Index. Details: pacetowin.com/methodology.
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