Houston Astros

2026 Season Win Pace Projections

Finished 81-81.

Season complete
Why 81-81?

Final record

81-81
50.0%
Win %

Calculate Projection

Records and standings come from ESPN; playoff odds come from the PaceToWin model, built on MLB's Stats API. Model version mlb-elo-mc-v3. How our numbers work

The Houston Astros play a 162-game MLB season. PaceToWin projects the Astros' final 2026 record from their current results. Records and standings come from ESPN; playoff odds come from the PaceToWin model, built on MLB's Stats API. The calculator in the section under the headline shows how a hypothetical record changes their projected finish. How our numbers work

Frequently Asked Questions

What will the Houston Astros' 2026 record be?

Once the 2026 MLB season is underway, this page projects the Houston Astros' final record and win pace from their results. Records and standings come from ESPN; playoff odds come from the PaceToWin model, built on MLB's Stats API.

How does PaceToWin project the Houston Astros?

PaceToWin takes the Houston Astros' current win rate and extends it across the full 162-game MLB season, then layers in point-differential (Pythagorean) expected wins and model-based playoff odds where available. Records and standings come from ESPN; playoff odds come from the PaceToWin model, built on MLB's Stats API. Details: pacetowin.com/methodology.

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